Which climate models can you trust, city by city?
24 European cities, one consistent peer-reviewed method: models scored against observed local climate, trust-weighted into a mid-century signal for each city’s worst rain day. Open a city to see its full profile, including the doubt.
#1OsloNorway+27.3%100% agree
#2AmsterdamNetherlands+23.5%100% agree
#3WarsawPoland+23.5%100% agree
#4LondonUnited Kingdom+22.5%100% agree
#5RomeItaly+18.8%100% agree
#6BrusselsBelgium+17.4%100% agree
#7BudapestHungary+17.0%80% agree
#8ZurichSwitzerland+13.6%100% agree
#9MilanItaly+12.8%79% agree
#10FlorenceItaly+11.4%80% agree
#11BolognaItaly+10.8%100% agree
#12BerlinGermany+10.6%79% agree
#13BarcelonaSpain+9.6%75% agree
#14LisbonPortugal+9.1%62% agree
#15CopenhagenDenmark+8.7%80% agree
#16PragueCzechia+7.6%79% agree
#17MadridSpain+7.6%80% agree
#18AthensGreece+7.0%57% agree
#19VeniceItaly+3.3%56% agree
#20DublinIreland+3.1%61% agree
#21ViennaAustria+2.4%62% agree
#22MunichGermany+0.6%59% agree
#23ParisFrance-5.2%46% agree
#24StockholmSweden-10.2%21% agree
Global preview · unranked, reference-data confidence flagged
GPJakartaIndonesia+54.6%100% agree · moderate data
GPSingaporeSingapore+45.2%100% agree · moderate data
GPLagosNigeria+43.0%100% agree · weak data
GPMiamiUnited States+20.3%78% agree · strong data
GPNairobiKenya+19.0%82% agree · weak data
GPTokyoJapan+18.1%82% agree · strong data
GPCape TownSouth Africa+12.5%61% agree · moderate data
GPSao PauloBrazil+9.7%81% agree · moderate data
GPMumbaiIndia+9.3%81% agree · moderate data
GPNew YorkUnited States+5.9%63% agree · strong data
GPSydneyAustralia-2.3%55% agree · strong data
GPMexico CityMexico-4.6%50% agree · moderate data
Machine-readable
The atlas is also an API
Every profile publishes its trust signal as JSON with agreement and uncertainty attached. One index, one file per city, no key required:
curl https://www.arasense.com/trust/index.json curl https://www.arasense.com/trust/lagos.json
Your geography
Your city isn’t listed. That’s the point.
A pilot engagement starts with your locations and ends with them profiled here, trust-scored, projected, and defensible.