Arasense
Click a map. Leave with defensible evidence.
The Arasense console is map-first: one click sets a climate point, one drawn box scopes a flood-screening region, and every module downstream, trust scoring, projection, portfolio ranking, reads from those spatial inputs.
Every number in the replay is a real Arasense atlas output, the same figures published on each city's trust profile. Pick a city, or open the full Atlas.
Console modules
From spatial input to structured evidence
Climate diagnostic
Aras Diagram scoring, model ranking, trust tiers, and time-series comparison.Forward projection
Trust-weighted 2040–2059 changes for rainfall, heat, drought, and scenario gaps.Portfolio ranking
Multi-location screening for exposure prioritization and advisory workflows.Flood pilot
Terrain graph, climate signal, GNN screening, and Sentinel-1 validation evidence.
Preview note. The session replay above uses real Arasense atlas outputs; the sample panels below are representative outputs from existing Arasense reports.
Operational summary
MID-CENTURY
Sample Bologna output
+14.2%Max 1-day precipitation change by mid-century.
32 / 34CMIP6 models passed skill screening.
78%Trusted-model weight agreeing on increase.
Bologna's flood-driving rainfall sample shows maximum 1-day precipitation rising from 40.23 mm to 45.97 mm under SSP2-4.5, with uncertainty reported rather than hidden.
Model trust table
Top contributing projection models
| Model | Weight | Historical | 2050 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CESM2 | 4% | 48.30 mm | 49.93 mm | +1.64 mm |
| CMCC-CM2-SR5 | 4% | 44.75 mm | 54.12 mm | +9.37 mm |
| ACCESS-CM2 | 4% | 48.58 mm | 49.80 mm | +1.23 mm |
| GFDL-ESM4 | 3% | 46.58 mm | 56.32 mm | +9.74 mm |
Multi-hazard profile
Rainfall, heat, and drought
| Hazard | Today | 2050 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max 1-day rainfall | 44.20 mm | 48.95 mm | +4.75 mm |
| Max temperature | 37.4 °C | 40.8 °C | +3.4 K |
| Dry-day frequency | 62.8% | 64.2% | +1.4 pts |
Response console
Structured sample JSON
{
"location": "Bologna",
"module": "trust-weighted projection",
"hazard": "maximum 1-day precipitation",
"historical_mm": 40.23,
"future_2050_mm": 45.97,
"change_pct": 14.2,
"trusted_models": "32 of 34",
"agreement_on_increase": "78%"
}
Validation note. Flood outputs are validation-stage screening evidence. They are not a replacement for hydraulic modelling, field validation, local calibration, or engineering-grade flood forecasting.