Static product preview

A map-first console for climate diagnostics, projections, and flood pilot evidence.

This public page is a non-computing preview. The private console connects the same workflow to live FastAPI, Earth Engine, model-trust scoring, GNN flood screening, and Sentinel-1 validation.

Public demo mode: the panels below use representative sample outputs from existing Arasense reports. They do not submit live analysis requests or expose the backend.
Spatial command map

Bologna pilot geography

In the private console, a map click sets the climate point and a drawn box defines the flood-screening area.

Preview
Climate target Lat 44.494, Lon 11.343, Radius 50 km
Flood validation window Emilia-Romagna / Bologna, May 2023 event
Mission controls

Private console modules

The live version runs these modules through the protected Arasense backend.

Climate diagnostic

Aras Diagram scoring, model ranking, trust tiers, and time-series comparison.

Forward projection

Trust-weighted 2040-2059 changes for rainfall, heat, drought, and scenario gaps.

Portfolio ranking

Multi-location screening for exposure prioritization and advisory workflows.

Flood pilot

Terrain graph, climate signal, GNN screening, and Sentinel-1 validation evidence.
Operational summary

Sample Bologna output

Mid-century
+14.2% Max 1-day precipitation change by mid-century.
32 / 34 CMIP6 models passed skill screening in the full projection case.
78% Trusted-model weight agreeing on an increase.

Interpretation

Bologna's flood-driving rainfall sample shows an increase in maximum 1-day precipitation from 40.23 mm to 45.97 mm under SSP2-4.5, with uncertainty reported rather than hidden.

Model trust table

Top contributing projection models

ModelWeightHistorical2050Change
CESM24%48.30 mm49.93 mm+1.64 mm
CMCC-CM2-SR54%44.75 mm54.12 mm+9.37 mm
ACCESS-CM24%48.58 mm49.80 mm+1.23 mm
GFDL-ESM43%46.58 mm56.32 mm+9.74 mm
Multi-hazard profile

Rainfall, heat, and drought

HazardToday2050Change
Max 1-day rainfall44.20 mm48.95 mm+4.75 mm
Max temperature37.4 C40.8 C+3.4 K
Dry-day frequency62.8%64.2%+1.4 pts
Response console

Structured sample JSON

{ "location": "Bologna", "module": "trust-weighted projection", "hazard": "maximum 1-day precipitation", "historical_mm": 40.23, "future_2050_mm": 45.97, "change_pct": 14.2, "trusted_models": "32 of 34", "agreement_on_increase": "78%" }
Flood outputs are validation-stage screening evidence. They are not a replacement for hydraulic modelling, field validation, local calibration, or engineering-grade flood forecasting.