{
  "case": "Bologna \u2014 flood-driving rainfall, mid-century",
  "notes": "Trust-weighted CMIP6 projection over a 20-year climatology. Pilot demonstration; extremes are the forward-looking flood-risk driver.",
  "metric": "rx1day",
  "metric_label": "Maximum 1-day precipitation",
  "unit": "mm",
  "windows": {
    "historical": [
      "1995-01-01",
      "2014-12-31"
    ],
    "future": [
      "2040-01-01",
      "2059-12-31"
    ]
  },
  "n_models_scored": 34,
  "n_models_trusted": 32,
  "historical_level": 40.23253608995566,
  "scenarios": {
    "ssp245": {
      "label": "SSP2-4.5 (moderate)",
      "future_level": 45.96532252750795,
      "change": 5.732786437552291,
      "change_low": -0.2632007894408144,
      "change_high": 11.728773664545397,
      "pct_change": 14.24913016851434,
      "agreement_on_increase": 0.7822433417682687
    },
    "ssp585": {
      "label": "SSP5-8.5 (high emissions)",
      "future_level": 45.63850095890645,
      "change": 5.416730108002119,
      "change_low": -1.1721723940288724,
      "change_high": 12.00563261003311,
      "pct_change": 13.467159683448726,
      "agreement_on_increase": 0.7409395899076604
    }
  }
}